Advanced NFL stats has put together a spiffy new way of predicting the future success of NFL teams. The goal is to calculate the probability that a team would beat an average team at a neutral site, from offensive and defensive stats against factors like penalty rates.
It would be interesting to see if Indianapolis, New Orleans, and Denver are there at the end, and if Minnesota is overrated.
http://www.advancednflstats.com/2009/10/efficiency-rankings-week-8.html
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